Following Autodesk is like chasing a jack rabbit. You think it will hop one way but it hops the other.
I have watched Autodesk for about 15 years. I’ve written much about them, their products. I live in its shadows. My neighbors are Autodeskers. All that, I still can’t predict their moves.
Never has this been more obvious than when Trimble came out of nowhere to buy SketchUp from Google (see press release). CAD insiders had known SketchUp was on the blocks. We speculated and came up with the usual suspects. Not one predicted Trimble.
Why did Autodesk not outbid everyone? I would have thought they’d do whatever it took to acquire SketchUp. Autodesk has been actively chasing the maker/inventor/hobbyist market, such as it is. The AEC community may not have jumped on SketchUp to create the built world, but the DIYers sure jumped on it to make whatever whirligig, gizmos, low-riders, furniture, or whatever crazy contraption that was in their head. It was easy. It was free. It spread like wildfire, reaching and saturating an unintended but huge audience. I attended a Maker Faire south of San Francisco and was amazed at the almost universal adoption of SketchUp. Autodesk had noticed, too, and they were not about to let this go unanswered. They had come out with great fanfare with its 123D product. They were chasing the same audience, but had devised a new product to do so. And spent millions. Like SketchUp, 123D was also free. (see Autodesk 123D, Autodesk Taking on Google)
But it takes more than throwing free product around to convert users. Think children from their mothers. SketchUp already had its faithful adherents. Lots and lots of them. This was clearly evident in its 3D Warehouse, a vast library of models, produced over the years -- all available for free.
I had to make a factory layout. Let’s see, should I make each machine in 123D, even if was free and easy to use (supposedly)? Or should I use models from the SketchUp library. I found Bridgeports, lathes, drill presses, tables, even a water jet cutter in the SketchUp library. In less than one hour, I had a reasonable attempt at a factory layout. In fact, every tool and machine I needed was there. How deep was this library? Out of curiosity, I looked for Adirondack chairs. There were dozens of Adirondack chair designs, for God’s sake.
Thousands of people had been at this for year… SketchUp had – without trying – gained an incredible head start into a market that Autodesk was publicly drooling for. So if I was Autodesk, I would have to wonder… do I want to spend millions marketing and product development and years to try to lure customers away from a product they have willingly chosen, invested time to learn, may be even love? Spend other millions for a website that purportedly has the demographics of makers/DIYers (see What Where They Thinking? Autodesk Buys Instructables) and end up with picklers and cupcake makers? Wouldn’t it make more sense to just buy the product everyone is already using?
Don’t ask me. I can never get it right.
Autodesk is like OPEC, Microsoft or any monopoly. They do nearly zero innovation until the monopoly is 'medium' threatened ... hence sketchup... after 20years of Autodesk, I welcome their long awaited death
Posted by: c | August 10, 2012 at 05:40 AM
(I copied the comment below from the comment I left on Ralph Grabowski's site)
I read Roopinder's article and it got me curious. So I downloaded and installed Autodesk 123D and gave it a try.
123D seems to be a repurposed Inventor Fusion. The UI seems to be designed for the DIY crowd, but the core of the products seems to work and feel a lot like Fusion.
So did Autodesk really have to spend millions on this? Maybe, I'm not sure. But in some ways this seems to make more sense than buying Sketchup.
If Autodesk had purchased Sktechup, would they have made it fit the rest of the Autodesk design products? How much would it cost to make those under the hood changes?
So it seems they could have approached this in 2 ways. They could have bought Sketchup for the userbase and then spent the money to integrate the product into the Autodesk family. The other way is to use your already developed core tech, put a new UI on it for novice cad users and try to win the base over by builing a better product.
Both routes are challenging to pull off.
Posted by: Kevin E. | May 06, 2012 at 08:31 PM
I agree Sketchup seems a more logical fit for Autodesk than where it ended up. However, I see the whole 123D/maker thing as a totally different ballgame. Given it was spun out of tech (platforms/previews) already in-house probably easier to deal with.
Now Sketchup is of the table maybe Autodesk will address that market. Kinda take Sketchbook designer sketching into a Project Vasari world and you'd have it.
Or, maybe they will resurrect (now the hardware and bandwidth has caught up) the long dead Architectural Studio?
I thought that could have been a sketchup killer back in the day, Wrong! :)
For thouse who don't remember Autodesk's conceptual digital drawing board:
http://rcd.typepad.com/rcd/2004/08/autodesk_archit.html
Posted by: RobiNZ | May 06, 2012 at 08:07 PM
I think AUtodesk would only have bought SketchUp to shut it down. The 3D modeling technology in SketchUp is too simplistic (facet surfaces) for Autodesk; they see full 3D solids and mesh modeling as the proper solution for beginners.
However, they don't seem to realize that we'll use the handle of a hammer to measure a piece of wood, and so faceted surfaces works sufficiently well for 30 million people.
Posted by: Ralph Grabowski | May 03, 2012 at 08:11 PM
Dear Roopinder,
for a CAD insider you are not exactly well informed. otherwise you would know that only a small part of Sketchup's user base fits into the category of DIYsts or hobbyists. much on the contrary, Sketchup is used professionally all over the world for modeling complex stuff, rendering, animation and even for making construction drawings in 2D (using its companion app LayOut).
regards,
Posted by: Account Deleted | May 02, 2012 at 10:17 AM
"Why did Autodesk not outbid everyone?"
I guess one has to wonder if Autodesk were being offered in the first place?
Maybe Google didn't want them to have it?
"DIYers sure jumped on it to make whatever whirligig, gizmos, low-riders, furniture, or whatever crazy contraption that was in their head"
oh those wacky diy_ers :-)
fwiw, i think (know) there is much more being created with sketchup than what you can find in the 3D warehouse..
Posted by: Jeff Hammond | May 01, 2012 at 04:55 PM